The challenges seem oversimplified here and the risks seem understated. For example, you say “The US should simultaneously eliminate all Iranian maritime assets used to threaten the Strait of Hormuz”. Asymmetric warfare suggests that this easily stated goal is not actually attainable.
We toppled an elected government in Iran in 1953 and installed the Shah who was ruthless. This ultimately led to the Iranian revolution in 1979 and the ayatollahs. Deja vu, anyone? Iraq 2.0, anyone? Military Industrial Complex, anyone?
I’m very grateful for you and Wes O’Donnell for giving us the straight facts and your experienced analyses so we don’t have to rely on every fool with an opinion. I’m now learning more about the Middle East than I ever wanted to.
As a serious supporter of Ukraine, hearing that “Sales to Russia (to make up for their collapsing war in Ukraine), will have to be cut as Iran focuses on their own needs.” is information gold for me.
One question: why hasn’t Iran gone full-on to create a nuke? They are a nation of dedicated jihadists and have said publicly many times their goal is to destroy Israel
It seems that Israel and the US (even without direct involvement) militarily already have Iran on its knees. But I would argue that no one can really predict what will happen (longer term) after that. So I would not declare anyone the winner or loser yet. It may actually have the opposite effect and make many countries more determined to have their own nuclear weapons.
Some politicians seem to be counting on a regime change in Iran. This is a very tricky strategy and there are many examples of how this did not work out as planned. Successful examples (Germany, Japan) only came about after fighting a world war and a multi-year occupation.
No population in the world will look very favourably upon a regime forced upon them by another country. As the Americans say: "my country right or wrong”.
All this is plausible and well detailed. I don’t want war with Iran, as horrible as they are.
I hope your assertion of the war drop is wrong for June 21. The biggest risk I see is the weakend leadership in the DoD and mistakes they make. And I wouldn’t want trump to be a winner in any respects.
It is good that Iran supply to Russia will decrease, which helps Ukraine.
The challenges seem oversimplified here and the risks seem understated. For example, you say “The US should simultaneously eliminate all Iranian maritime assets used to threaten the Strait of Hormuz”. Asymmetric warfare suggests that this easily stated goal is not actually attainable.
We toppled an elected government in Iran in 1953 and installed the Shah who was ruthless. This ultimately led to the Iranian revolution in 1979 and the ayatollahs. Deja vu, anyone? Iraq 2.0, anyone? Military Industrial Complex, anyone?
I’m very grateful for you and Wes O’Donnell for giving us the straight facts and your experienced analyses so we don’t have to rely on every fool with an opinion. I’m now learning more about the Middle East than I ever wanted to.
As a serious supporter of Ukraine, hearing that “Sales to Russia (to make up for their collapsing war in Ukraine), will have to be cut as Iran focuses on their own needs.” is information gold for me.
One question: why hasn’t Iran gone full-on to create a nuke? They are a nation of dedicated jihadists and have said publicly many times their goal is to destroy Israel
This is a perfect plan .. it can’t fail. US perfect plans work every time .. Korea, Vietnam, Iraq, Libya, Afghanistan, Ukraine 🤔
"This is a limited attack - not a war." You're fucking delusional. Mute. Block.
Source for your assertion of a date for the US attack? Or just that this weekendmakes sense to you?
It seems that Israel and the US (even without direct involvement) militarily already have Iran on its knees. But I would argue that no one can really predict what will happen (longer term) after that. So I would not declare anyone the winner or loser yet. It may actually have the opposite effect and make many countries more determined to have their own nuclear weapons.
Some politicians seem to be counting on a regime change in Iran. This is a very tricky strategy and there are many examples of how this did not work out as planned. Successful examples (Germany, Japan) only came about after fighting a world war and a multi-year occupation.
No population in the world will look very favourably upon a regime forced upon them by another country. As the Americans say: "my country right or wrong”.
All this is plausible and well detailed. I don’t want war with Iran, as horrible as they are.
I hope your assertion of the war drop is wrong for June 21. The biggest risk I see is the weakend leadership in the DoD and mistakes they make. And I wouldn’t want trump to be a winner in any respects.
It is good that Iran supply to Russia will decrease, which helps Ukraine.
You are on…