22 Comments
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ABossy's avatar

I’m very grateful for you and Wes O’Donnell for giving us the straight facts and your experienced analyses so we don’t have to rely on every fool with an opinion. I’m now learning more about the Middle East than I ever wanted to.

As a serious supporter of Ukraine, hearing that “Sales to Russia (to make up for their collapsing war in Ukraine), will have to be cut as Iran focuses on their own needs.” is information gold for me.

One question: why hasn’t Iran gone full-on to create a nuke? They are a nation of dedicated jihadists and have said publicly many times their goal is to destroy Israel

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Tankster's avatar

And everyone else in the Dar al Harb, convert, die or live as Dhimmi.

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JeffDavid's avatar

This is a perfect plan .. it can’t fail. US perfect plans work every time .. Korea, Vietnam, Iraq, Libya, Afghanistan, Ukraine 🤔

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ApothicYokai's avatar

I would argue this is very similar to Ukraine and it’s a solid strategy for the US. Completely stay out of the war, don’t put any troops on the ground, but provide aid.

Ukraine has been a massive win for the US as Russia completely knee capped their economy. Israel taking out Iran’s nuclear capabilities is a massive win for America.

Just because we stay out of a way doesn’t mean we can’t help sides fighting for democracy.

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Scott Smith's avatar

Dude called it frame perfect

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Rockjaw's avatar

And in keeping with the levels of quality and thoroughness that this regime is renown for, it now appears they left a lot of the complex they intended to destroy, relatively undamaged? Maybe someone will get a hold of the after-action report(s) to provide clarity?

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Tankster's avatar

Good presentation but you ignore that PRC and IND demand doesn’t disappear if IRN oil goes down. They will be bidders at the margin with the rest of the world. Oil $125?

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Steve's avatar

This writer displays an inordinate level of chutzpah. It’s all so simple, isn’t it? It’s gonna be great - just like all the other wars The Empire has been fighting for decades. I find this guys faith in US Wunderwaffe so touching…..bless him. Do we recall all those western ‘game changers’ in Ukraine? 😂 It’s seems we’ve just had a Kabuki GBU-57 ‘attack’ on Natanz, Fordow and other Iranian nuclear reprocessing sites. ‘Totally obliterated’ says DJ Chump, declares victory, and goes home. Well, he had to do ‘something’, right? Meanwhile the settler colony is getting a bloody good hiding every night (and sometimes days). There seems to be some evidence that the Americans notified Iran in advance, that a performative ‘attack’ was coming, and please don’t shoot down any of our ‘invisible’ planes. Perhaps the response will be a performative Iranian ‘attack’, on an empty U.S. base in the gulf, then honor is maintained and Iran and the settler colony can go on exchanging munitions for a couple more weeks till the latter exhausts the remainder of its AD capability, and begs America to negotiate a ceasefire with Iran. Sounds good to me. 👍

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Steve's avatar

Well, I got that right - except the Israeli begging for a ceasefire came a lot sooner than I expected. 👍

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John Greene's avatar

We toppled an elected government in Iran in 1953 and installed the Shah who was ruthless. This ultimately led to the Iranian revolution in 1979 and the ayatollahs. Deja vu, anyone? Iraq 2.0, anyone? Military Industrial Complex, anyone?

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PostPlandemicChronicles's avatar

Rumsfeld would be proud. Smh

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Thomas's avatar

Well-stated, and apparently spot-on, given the events of the past 36 hours. You have some next-level insights and analysis. Keep it up!

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Cameron Alguire's avatar

This is excellent and unbiased analysis.

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John Anderson's avatar

A strange report in many ways. Very " gung ho" in the miltary option- history teachs us that technology is not the wonder weapon that the armchair generals pontificate.

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rc4797's avatar

"This is a limited attack - not a war." You're fucking delusional. Mute. Block.

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Jenny's avatar

Source for your assertion of a date for the US attack? Or just that this weekendmakes sense to you?

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Jona's avatar

It seems that Israel and the US (even without direct involvement) militarily already have Iran on its knees. But I would argue that no one can really predict what will happen (longer term) after that. So I would not declare anyone the winner or loser yet. It may actually have the opposite effect and make many countries more determined to have their own nuclear weapons.

Some politicians seem to be counting on a regime change in Iran. This is a very tricky strategy and there are many examples of how this did not work out as planned. Successful examples (Germany, Japan) only came about after fighting a world war and a multi-year occupation.

No population in the world will look very favourably upon a regime forced upon them by another country. As the Americans say: "my country right or wrong”.

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Steve's avatar

Iran ‘on its knees’. 😂 You really need to start getting some info from non-Empire sources, my friend. Is Russia ‘on its knees’ also? 😂

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SomeNYDude (he/him)'s avatar

All this is plausible and well detailed. I don’t want war with Iran, as horrible as they are.

I hope your assertion of the war drop is wrong for June 21. The biggest risk I see is the weakend leadership in the DoD and mistakes they make. And I wouldn’t want trump to be a winner in any respects.

It is good that Iran supply to Russia will decrease, which helps Ukraine.

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Steve's avatar

‘Helps Ukraine’. Awww - bless you mate, but nothing can ‘help’ Ukraine now. It’s fate is sealed.

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SomeNYDude (he/him)'s avatar

Talk to me in 6 months when Russia’s economy collapses.

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Nadin Brzezinski's avatar

You are on…

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